| レート | 1491 | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 登場確率 | 対戦相手 | レート | 期待勝率 | 合計期待勝率 | |
| 2回戦 | 65.19% | 是枝直樹 | 1538 | 43.28% | 48.69% |
| 34.81% | 太田啓介アマ | 1429 | 58.83% | ||
| 3回戦 | 50.00% | 木村友亮 | 1538 | 43.28% | 21.07% |
| 50.00% | 岩村凛太朗 | 1538 | 43.28% | ||
| 準々決勝 | 56.28% | 生垣寛人 | 1538 | 43.28% | 9.64% |
| 19.43% | 横山友紀 | 1478 | 51.87% | ||
| 19.08% | 渋江朔矢 | 1538 | 43.28% | ||
| 5.21% | 稲葉聡アマ | 1429 | 58.83% | ||
| 準決勝 | 23.98% | 井田明宏 | 1658 | 27.66% | 3.37% |
| 20.84% | 岡部怜央 | 1627 | 31.37% | ||
| 15.47% | 森本才跳 | 1618 | 32.50% | ||
| 11.05% | 齊藤裕也 | 1588 | 36.39% | ||
| 9.11% | 村上邦和 | 1538 | 43.28% | ||
| 5.67% | 山川泰熙 | 1501 | 48.56% | ||
| 3.83% | 齊藤優希 | 1538 | 43.28% | ||
| 3.83% | 田中大貴 | 1538 | 43.28% | ||
| 3.10% | 立石径 | 1538 | 43.28% | ||
| 3.10% | 貫島永州 | 1538 | 43.28% | ||
| 決勝 | 15.09% | 上野裕寿 | 1575 | 32.55% | 1.12% |
| 14.62% | 狩山幹生 | 1639 | 21.48% | ||
| 10.08% | 谷合廣紀 | 1601 | 27.74% | ||
| 9.37% | 小山直希 | 1584 | 30.84% | ||
| 8.85% | 徳田拳士 | 1595 | 28.81% | ||
| 6.37% | 古井丈大 | 1538 | 39.98% | ||
| 6.10% | 小山怜央 | 1564 | 34.69% | ||
| 4.73% | 吉池隆真 | 1538 | 39.98% | ||
| 3.90% | 山下数毅 | 1538 | 39.98% | ||
| 3.00% | 増田晃之郎 | 1538 | 39.98% | ||
| 3.00% | 鳥巣友希 | 1538 | 39.98% | ||
| 2.47% | 片山史龍 | 1538 | 39.98% | ||
| 2.47% | 広森航汰 | 1538 | 39.98% | ||
| 2.37% | 桐山大翔 | 1538 | 39.98% | ||
| 2.37% | 山城正樹 | 1538 | 39.98% | ||
| 1.85% | 北村啓太郎 | 1538 | 39.98% | ||
| 1.85% | 高坂直矢 | 1538 | 39.98% | ||
| 0.79% | 石本さくら | 1412 | 66.49% | ||
| 0.73% | 大島綾華 | 1412 | 66.49% | 注：「合計期待勝率」は例えば２回戦ならば、 ２回戦を勝ち抜く確率を示す。 ・合計期待勝率＝１つ下の対局の合計期待勝率× （対戦相手ごとの登場確率×期待勝率の総和） | |