| レート | 1564 | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 登場確率 | 対戦相手 | レート | 期待勝率 | 合計期待勝率 | |
| 2回戦 | 谷合廣紀 | 1601 | 44.70% | 44.70% | |
| 3回戦 | 50.00% | 吉池隆真 | 1538 | 53.73% | 24.02% |
| 25.00% | 桐山大翔 | 1538 | 53.73% | ||
| 25.00% | 山城正樹 | 1538 | 53.73% | ||
| 準々決勝 | 35.03% | 小山直希 | 1584 | 47.12% | 12.74% |
| 31.18% | 古井丈大 | 1538 | 53.73% | ||
| 12.09% | 片山史龍 | 1538 | 53.73% | ||
| 12.09% | 広森航汰 | 1538 | 53.73% | ||
| 9.62% | 石本さくら | 1412 | 70.58% | ||
| 準決勝 | 28.82% | 上野裕寿 | 1575 | 48.42% | 6.10% |
| 23.85% | 狩山幹生 | 1639 | 39.37% | ||
| 16.03% | 徳田拳士 | 1595 | 45.55% | ||
| 8.29% | 山下数毅 | 1538 | 53.73% | ||
| 6.37% | 増田晃之郎 | 1538 | 53.73% | ||
| 6.37% | 鳥巣友希 | 1538 | 53.73% | ||
| 3.93% | 北村啓太郎 | 1538 | 53.73% | ||
| 3.93% | 高坂直矢 | 1538 | 53.73% | ||
| 2.42% | 大島綾華 | 1412 | 70.58% | ||
| 決勝 | 16.37% | 井田明宏 | 1658 | 30.65% | 2.91% |
| 13.40% | 岡部怜央 | 1627 | 36.69% | ||
| 12.09% | 生垣寛人 | 1538 | 55.59% | ||
| 9.76% | 森本才跳 | 1618 | 38.53% | ||
| 6.52% | 齊藤裕也 | 1588 | 44.84% | ||
| 5.99% | 木村友亮 | 1538 | 55.59% | ||
| 5.99% | 岩村凛太朗 | 1538 | 55.59% | ||
| 4.73% | 村上邦和 | 1538 | 55.59% | ||
| 4.10% | 渋江朔矢 | 1538 | 55.59% | ||
| 3.99% | 是枝直樹 | 1538 | 55.59% | ||
| 3.37% | 高橋佑二郎 | 1491 | 65.31% | ||
| 2.82% | 横山友紀 | 1478 | 67.84% | ||
| 2.65% | 山川泰熙 | 1501 | 63.31% | ||
| 1.99% | 齊藤優希 | 1538 | 55.59% | ||
| 1.99% | 田中大貴 | 1538 | 55.59% | ||
| 1.61% | 立石径 | 1538 | 55.59% | ||
| 1.61% | 貫島永州 | 1538 | 55.59% | ||
| 0.53% | 稲葉聡アマ | 1429 | 76.49% | ||
| 0.51% | 太田啓介アマ | 1429 | 76.49% | 注：「合計期待勝率」は例えば２回戦ならば、 ２回戦を勝ち抜く確率を示す。 ・合計期待勝率＝１つ下の対局の合計期待勝率× （対戦相手ごとの登場確率×期待勝率の総和） | |